Football Predictions You Can Actually Verify
Data-driven football predictions with transparent model confidence and verified results.
Model Confidence
Every pick is graded on probability, probability gap, draw risk, and model edge, not gut feeling.
Verified Record
Results are tracked and graded only after fixtures are settled, and our full track record is public.
Responsible Use
An 18+ analysis platform for informational purposes. This is data, not betting advice.
Top Predictions
The highest-conviction upcoming matches across every active league we cover.
Premier League
18 upcoming predictions, with the current standings.
Current Standings
Updated 07 Nov 2026| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +9 | 24 | |
| 2 | 9 | +10 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | +17 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | +4 | 16 | |
| 5 | 10 | +2 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | +7 | 14 | |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
The weekly model report is published every Monday once the week's results have settled.
How UTABIRI Works
We combine mathematical modelling with strict publishing discipline.
Model Discipline
UTABIRI does not recommend every prediction. Matches are filtered by confidence, probability gap, draw risk, and model edge.
Explore MethodologyVerified Track Record
Every eligible prediction is locked before kickoff and later checked against the actual result, in public.
View Track RecordFootball Prediction Education
Understand the models, metrics, and decision rules behind UTABIRI predictions.
How our predictor model matches the Poisson model
The mathematical foundations of our prediction engine and how it builds on the traditional Poisson approach.
Read Article StatisticsBeginner's guide to football statistics
Essential metrics every football fan should understand: xG, pressing, field tilt, and why shot counts can mislead.
Read Article xGExpected goals vs actual goals
Why chance quality often predicts future performance better than goals scored, and what variance and regression to the mean mean in football.
Read Article